If this page has been found, a familiar predicament is likely at
hand: decisions must be made under uncertainty, and the solitary
model—or solitary expert—will not suffice. What is needed is a
disciplined way to surface assumptions, test them, and let human
judgment and machine inference meet without confusion.
AnAssumption builds AI tools grounded in scientific method: state
the hypothesis, formalise it, confront it with data, revise. The
instruments are modelling and simulation to expose structure,
language models to extract and score evidence from text, and
decision procedures that report uncertainty, sensitivity, and
counterfactuals. The aim is complementarity—machines to widen
perception and shorten feedback loops; humans to set aims and accept
responsibility.
Work focuses on macroeconomics, investment research, and
organisational decisions where ambiguity is chronic. Multi-agent
simulations generate scenarios and stress tests; domain-adapted
language models read filings, policy, and research; calibration and
out-of-sample checks keep results inside reliability bounds.
Assumptions are explicit and measurable, so revision becomes a
feature, not a failure.
Integration is pragmatic: map the firm’s information flow, remove
bottlenecks, and embed services behind clean interfaces with data
lineage and audit trails. Tutorials and consulting translate method
into practice—model design, uncertainty measurement, retrieval and
prompting without superstition, evaluation that resists wishful
thinking—so teams operate scientifically rather than by folklore. A
final remark: any single perspective is incomplete. an assumption
assembles multiple, testable views and places them before
responsible humans at the moment of choice. If clarity emerges, it
will be by construction—explicit assumptions, measured uncertainty,
and complementary strengths that add rather than cancel.